Designing New Money
Executive Summary
The prospect of central banks issuing digital currency not only raises the question of whether this is a good idea or not. There are several variables in the design of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) thus raising the question of how to design such a new form of money. This is the question explored in this paper. The paper poses the question of the design of CBDC not merely as a technical
but also as a political question. Before we can determine, what is the
optimal design of CBDC, we have to decide, what we want this kind of
money to do for us. What is the purpose of implementing
CBDC? This is a political question in so far as different CBDC design
models serve the interest of different groups of agents in the economy. The
purpose of the paper is to point out the political nature of the question of
CBDC
as well as to map out different scenarios for the design and implementation
of this
kind of money.
Old Money and New Money
The
paper defines
CBDC
as the three kinds of money constituting the existing
monetary system: cash, bank money, and central bank reserves. The characteristics of
these three kinds of money relative to
CBDC
are analyzed through the Venn diagram below.
Depending on the way that these two questions are answered, there are four
different ways of combining CBDC with existing money each constituting a particular design model of the monetary system:
The
idea is that each of the existing forms of money
is defined through the lack of one of the three features: electronic, universal, and
central bank issued. The illustration also shows how CBDC integrates all of
these three features.
CBDC
thus potentially competes with each of the three existing forms of
money. This allows us to pose the question of the design of
CBDC in terms of the way that CBDC should supplement
or replace any of the existing forms of money. Assuming that
CBDC replaces existing central bank reserve money, the issue
of the design of
CBDC
may be broken down into two key questions:
- Should cash be abolished with the implementation of
CBDC or should the two forms of money co-exist?
- Should
bank money be abolished
with the implementation of
CBDC
or should the two forms of money co-exist?
Depending on the way that these two questions are answered, there are four
different ways of combining CBDC with existing money each constituting a particular design model of the monetary system:
1)
CBDC
is complementary to both cash and bank money
2)
CBDC
as a replacement for cash and complimentary to bank money
3)
CBDC
as a replacement for both cash and bank money
4)
CBCD
as complimentary to cash and a replacement for bank money.
The
monetary policy implications
of models 3 and 4 are not considered to differ significantly and they
are thus treated as one model.
The Policy Trilemma of CBDC
To evaluate the policy implications of each of these
three design models, the paper develops an adapted version of Mundell, Fleming, and
Obstfeld's classic
monetary policy trilemma. The conventional trilemma illustrates the relations between
a domestic and a foreign money creator in the form of two different
central banks. Our trilemma illustrates the relations between two
domestic money creators in the form of the central bank and the
commercial banking sector. The domestic monetary policy trilemma is
posed in the following fashion:
- The
conventional policy objective
of exchange rate management between
two currencies translate into the domestic policy objective of securing financial stability by maintaining parity between commercial bank money on the one hand and CBDC and cash on the other.
two currencies translate into the domestic policy objective of securing financial stability by maintaining parity between commercial bank money on the one hand and CBDC and cash on the other.
- The
conventional policy objective
of monetary autonomy in decisions on
central bank interest rates translate into monetary sovereignty, which is the prerogative of the monetary authorities to use CBDC not only as a monetary policy tool to support commercial bank credit creation but also as a fiscal policy tool to stimulate the general economy. The abandonment of monetary sovereignty means that commercial banks are the primary drivers of money creation.
central bank interest rates translate into monetary sovereignty, which is the prerogative of the monetary authorities to use CBDC not only as a monetary policy tool to support commercial bank credit creation but also as a fiscal policy tool to stimulate the general economy. The abandonment of monetary sovereignty means that commercial banks are the primary drivers of money creation.
- The
conventional policy objective
of free capital mobility translates into free convertibility between commercial bank money and central bank
money. We may understand the implementation of
CBDC
as the introduction of such convertibility. With universal access to the central bank balance
sheet, ordinary money users now for the first time have the option to
choose between holding
electronic money
with the central bank or with commercial banks. The gist of the trilemma
is that monetary authorities can only pursue two out of the three policy objectives.
Three Scenarios
The main analytical section of the paper applies the domestic monetary
policy trilemma to each of the three possible
CBDC
design models. The current situation, where convertibility between
commercial bank money and central bank money is highly inconvenient for
money users as they would have to hold physical cash, means that the
monetary authorities are now in the (C) position. The introduction of
CBDC
opens up the possibility of free convertibility between commercial bank
money and central bank money. This means that the central bank must either
give up using monetary policy and interest rate adjustments for any other
purpose than defending parity (A). Such an approach would immediately
correspond to the design model (1). But pressure on parity could
ultimately force the central bank to phase out cash to allow for
CBDC
interest rates to go negative thus leading to a design model (2). Another
option is for the central bank to give up taking responsibility for parity
between CBDC and bank money (B). This would amount to design model (3) or
(4) as bank credit money would no longer have the status of money but be
merely a particular form of commercial credit.
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